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Prediction markets

Predict the outcome.
Get paid for being right.

Event contracts on real-world outcomes — the Fed, elections, crypto, sports and more. Prices are probabilities: a 63¢ contract is a 63% chance, and every winning contract settles at $1.

Contracts can settle at $0. Prediction trading carries risk and is not investment advice.

150+Open markets
14Categories
$1Payout per winning contract
$1,000Demo cash to start
Live boardTrending now
Prices are the live market-implied probability from the süno markets board. Winning contracts settle at $1.

How it works

Three steps, one dollar

Buy the outcome you believe in. The price is the odds. Sell any time, or hold to settlement.

01

Buy event contracts

Each contract costs less than $1. The price is the market-implied probability of that outcome.

02

Sell any time

You're free to sell during the event as the odds shift — you don't have to wait for it to resolve.

03

Get paid for being right

Each contract pays $1 if your prediction is correct, or $0 if it isn't. Simple, binary settlement.

Trending now

Live from the board

Real markets, real prices — straight from the süno markets platform.

Live prices See all markets

The basics

What a prediction market actually is

A market where the price of an outcome is the crowd's estimate of its probability.

The price is the probability

In a prediction market, a contract on an outcome trades between $0 and $1. If "Fed maintains rate" is trading at 73¢, the market thinks there is a 73% chance it happens. Buy it, and you pay 73¢ now to receive $1 if you're right.

You're trading the odds, not a spread

Unlike a CFD, there's no bid/ask spread on an underlying price — you're taking a side of a yes/no question. Your profit is the gap between what you paid and the $1 settlement (or $0 if it goes the other way).

Sell before it resolves

As new information moves the odds, the contract's price moves with it. You can close for a profit or cut a loss at any time before the event settles — you are never locked in.

  • Contracts priced 1¢–99¢ — the price is the implied probability
  • Winning contracts settle at $1, losing at $0
  • Sell any time as the odds move
  • Practice with $1,000 in demo funds first

A worked example

QuestionWill the Fed maintain rates in Jul 2026?
PriceYou buy "Yes" at 73¢.
If rightEach contract settles at $1 — a 27¢ profit.
If wrongThe contract settles at $0 — you lose the 73¢.
Early exitIf the odds rise to 85¢, sell for a 12¢ gain without waiting.

Why süno

What you can verify first

The things a regulated venue should be able to back.

Four active licences

CMA, FSC, CySEC and FSA — named entities with published registration numbers you can verify.

Segregated client funds

Client money is held separately from company funds.

Transparent odds

Every price is the live market-implied probability — no hidden house line.

Instant settlement

Winning contracts pay $1 the moment a market resolves.

14 categories

Politics, the Fed, crypto, sports, tech, climate and more — 150+ open markets.

Risk-capped

You can never lose more than what you paid for a contract.

FAQ

Prediction markets, answered plainly

01 What is a prediction market?

A market where you buy contracts on the outcome of a real-world event. Each contract trades between $0 and $1, and the price is the market's estimate of how likely the outcome is. Winning contracts settle at $1.

02 How is the price set?

By supply and demand across everyone trading the market. If more people buy "Yes", the price rises toward $1; if they buy "No", it falls. The price you see is the live implied probability.

03 Do I have to wait for the event to end?

No. You can sell your contracts at any time before the market resolves, locking in a profit or cutting a loss as the odds move.

04 How much can I lose?

Never more than what you paid for a contract. If you buy at 73¢ and you're wrong, you lose 73¢ per contract — that's the maximum.

05 Can I practise first?

Yes. Every account starts with $1,000 in demo cash so you can learn to read the odds before anything real is at stake.

Get started

Practice with $1,000
in demo cash.

Every account starts with simulated funds — learn to read the odds before anything real is at stake.

4 active licences Segregated funds Instant $1 settlement